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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

06:20 → 06:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:20 → 06:25 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0620

Settled

Nov 15, 06:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05796
Index at 06:20:00

Final index

$0.05792

Settlement price

$0.05792
Index at 06:25:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.057780.057840.0579006:2006:2106:2206:2306:25PTB 0.05796

Settlement $0.05792

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN50.6%Low
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.7%
76 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 06:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP54.4%
UP 54.4%45.6% DOWN
Medium47.4%76 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP53.2%
UP 53.2%46.8% DOWN
Medium48.7%76 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium56.6%76 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium48.7%76 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Low47.4%76 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN59.6%
UP 40.4%59.6% DOWN
Medium43.4%76 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low51.3%76 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low51.3%76 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low46.1%76 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:20:00 UTC

06:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05796ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−6.0 bps0.05792ok
  • Coinbase+2.2 bps0.05797ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05796

Settlement · 06:25:00 UTC

06:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.6 bps0.05794ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05792ok
  • Coinbase−3.9 bps0.05790ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05792

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:15 → 06:20Nov 150.057680.05796UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%LOSS
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
06:05 → 06:10Nov 150.05779—VOID8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 150.058040.05779DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 150.058190.05804DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.6%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 150.058230.05819DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 150.058270.05823DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 150.058310.05827DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 150.058220.05831UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 150.058410.05822DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 150.058480.05841DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 150.058520.05848DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent51.3%76 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent51.3%76 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent56.6%76 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent47.4%76 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent46.1%76 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent48.7%76 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology