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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

07:10 → 07:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:10 → 07:15 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0710

Settled

Nov 15, 07:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05790
Index at 07:10:00

Final index

$0.05781

Settlement price

$0.05781
Index at 07:15:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.057720.057780.0578307:1007:1107:1207:1307:15PTB 0.05790

Settlement $0.05781

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN52.3%Low
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.8%
92 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 07:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Medium45.7%92 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP53.0%
UP 53.0%47.0% DOWN
Medium48.9%92 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Medium54.3%92 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium50.0%92 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low51.1%92 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN62.1%
UP 37.9%62.1% DOWN
Medium46.7%92 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low52.2%92 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low53.3%92 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low46.7%92 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:10:00 UTC

07:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.9 bps0.05790ok
  • Coinbase−0.9 bps0.05789ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05790ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05790

Settlement · 07:15:00 UTC

07:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05781ok
  • Coinbase+0.0 bps0.05781ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.05779ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05781

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:05 → 07:10Nov 150.057710.05790UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.1%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 150.057870.05771DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 150.057840.05787UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%LOSS
06:50 → 06:55Nov 150.058030.05784DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.1%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 150.058040.05803DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%WIN
06:40 → 06:45Nov 150.057930.05804UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.0%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 150.057910.05793UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.5%LOSS
06:30 → 06:35Nov 150.058030.05791DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.1%WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 150.057920.05803UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.3%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 150.057960.05792DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.6%WIN
06:15 → 06:20Nov 150.057680.05796UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%LOSS
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent52.2%92 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent51.1%92 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent53.3%92 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent46.7%92 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent54.3%92 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent48.9%92 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology