Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

07:25 → 07:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled07:25 → 07:30 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0725

Settled

Nov 15, 07:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05788

Index at 07:25:00

Final index

$0.05793

Settlement price

$0.05793

Index at 07:30:00

Outcome

Immutable record

Settlement $0.05793

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS

DOWN62.5%High

UP 37.5%62.5% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 47.9%; 96 markets
Model version: meta-doge5-v1; published 07:25:04 UTC

Base consensus

9 / 9 DOWN

100.0% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN53.3%	UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN	Medium	45.8%96 markets	trend-doge5-v207:25:04 UTC	LOSS
Momentum Agent	DOWN57.2%	UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN	Medium	49.0%96 markets	momentum-doge5-v207:25:04 UTC	LOSS
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN56.7%	UP 43.3%56.7% DOWN	Medium	54.2%96 markets	meanrev-doge5-v207:25:04 UTC	LOSS
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN54.9%	UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN	Medium	50.0%96 markets	rsidiv-doge5-v207:25:04 UTC	LOSS
Order Flow Agent	DOWN50.7%	UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN	Low	52.1%96 markets	orderflow-doge5-v107:25:04 UTC	LOSS
Volatility Agent	DOWN53.4%	UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN	Medium	47.9%96 markets	volatility-doge5-v207:25:04 UTC	LOSS
Liquidation Agent	DOWN52.2%	UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN	Low	52.1%96 markets	liquidation-doge5-v107:25:04 UTC	LOSS
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	53.1%96 markets	oifunding-doge5-v107:25:04 UTC	LOSS
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN52.3%	UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN	Low	46.9%96 markets	whaleflow-doge5-v107:25:04 UTC	LOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:25:00 UTC

07:25:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05788ok
Coinbase−3.2 bps0.05786ok
OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps0.05788ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05788

Settlement · 07:30:00 UTC

07:30:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05793ok
Coinbase+3.7 bps0.05795ok
OKXUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.05791ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05793

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
07:20 → 07:25Nov 15	0.05789	0.05788	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.9%	WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 15	0.05781	0.05789	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.3%	LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 15	0.05790	0.05781	DOWN	6 / 9 UP	DOWN52.3%	WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 15	0.05771	0.05790	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.1%	LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 15	0.05787	0.05771	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.5%	WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 15	0.05784	0.05787	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.0%	LOSS
06:50 → 06:55Nov 15	0.05803	0.05784	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.1%	WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 15	0.05804	0.05803	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN57.7%	WIN
06:40 → 06:45Nov 15	0.05793	0.05804	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN61.0%	LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 15	0.05791	0.05793	UP	9 / 9 DOWN	DOWN69.5%	LOSS
06:30 → 06:35Nov 15	0.05803	0.05791	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN55.1%	WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 15	0.05792	0.05803	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN69.3%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →

1Liquidation Agent52.1%96 mkts
2Order Flow Agent52.1%96 mkts
3OI/Funding Agent53.1%96 mkts
4Whale Flow Agent46.9%96 mkts
5Mean Reversion Agent54.2%96 mkts
6Volatility Agent47.9%96 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology