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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

08:00 → 08:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:00 → 08:05 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0800

Settled

Nov 15, 08:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05754
Index at 08:00:00

Final index

$0.05756

Settlement price

$0.05756
Index at 08:05:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.057460.057510.057560.0576108:0008:0108:0208:0308:05PTB 0.05754

Settlement $0.05756

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN54.8%Medium
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.2%
108 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 08:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium47.2%108 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN52.5%
UP 47.5%52.5% DOWN
Medium49.1%108 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Medium52.8%108 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium50.9%108 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP52.7%
UP 52.7%47.3% DOWN
Low55.6%108 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN58.7%
UP 41.3%58.7% DOWN
Medium46.3%108 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low51.9%108 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low52.8%108 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Low48.1%108 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:00:00 UTC

08:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.05754ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05754ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.3 bps0.05754ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05754

Settlement · 08:05:00 UTC

08:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05756ok
  • Coinbase+0.4 bps0.05756ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−4.3 bps0.05753ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05756

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:55 → 08:00Nov 150.057440.05754UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.0%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 150.057310.05744UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 150.057470.05731DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.7%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 150.057770.05747DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.4%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 150.057810.05777DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.1%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 150.057930.05781DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 150.057880.05793UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%LOSS
07:20 → 07:25Nov 150.057890.05788DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 150.057810.05789UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.3%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 150.057900.05781DOWN6 / 9 UPDOWN52.3%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 150.057710.05790UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.1%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 150.057870.05771DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent51.9%108 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent55.6%108 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent52.8%108 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent48.1%108 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.9%108 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent49.1%108 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology