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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

08:35 → 08:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:35 → 08:40 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0835

Settled

Nov 15, 08:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05787
Index at 08:35:00

Final index

$0.05775

Settlement price

$0.05775
Index at 08:40:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.057750.057790.0578408:3508:3608:3708:3808:40PTB 0.05787

Settlement $0.05775

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN64.2%High
UP 35.8%64.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.8%
118 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 08:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Medium45.8%118 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN60.3%
UP 39.7%60.3% DOWN
Medium48.3%118 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Medium50.8%118 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.3%
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Medium50.0%118 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low54.2%118 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium44.9%118 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.4%118 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low54.2%118 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Low50.0%118 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:35:00 UTC

08:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.4 bps0.05788ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.4 bps0.05787ok
Median of 2 sources$0.05787

Settlement · 08:40:00 UTC

08:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05775ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps0.05776ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05774ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05775

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:30 → 08:35Nov 150.057820.05787UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 150.057540.05782UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 150.057320.05754UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.4%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 150.057330.05732DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.6%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 150.057630.05733DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 150.057560.05763UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 150.057540.05756UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 150.057440.05754UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.0%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 150.057310.05744UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 150.057470.05731DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.7%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 150.057770.05747DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.4%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 150.057810.05777DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.1%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.4%118 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent54.2%118 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent54.2%118 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.0%118 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.0%118 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent48.3%118 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology