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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

08:25 → 08:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:25 → 08:30 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0825

Settled

Nov 15, 08:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05754
Index at 08:25:00

Final index

$0.05782

Settlement price

$0.05782
Index at 08:30:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.057660.057770.0578808:2508:2608:2708:2808:30PTB 0.05754

Settlement $0.05782

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN54.1%Medium
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.1%
115 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 08:25:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP54.0%
UP 54.0%46.0% DOWN
Medium45.2%115 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Medium48.7%115 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.1%
UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN
Medium51.3%115 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.9%
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Medium50.4%115 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low53.9%115 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN60.9%
UP 39.1%60.9% DOWN
Medium45.2%115 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.0%115 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low53.9%115 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low48.7%115 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:25:00 UTC

08:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.6 bps0.05756ok
  • Coinbase−0.0 bps0.05754ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05754ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05754

Settlement · 08:30:00 UTC

08:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.4 bps0.05783ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.4 bps0.05782ok
Median of 2 sources$0.05782

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:20 → 08:25Nov 150.057320.05754UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.4%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 150.057330.05732DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.6%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 150.057630.05733DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 150.057560.05763UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 150.057540.05756UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 150.057440.05754UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.0%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 150.057310.05744UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 150.057470.05731DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.7%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 150.057770.05747DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.4%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 150.057810.05777DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.1%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 150.057930.05781DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 150.057880.05793UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.0%115 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent53.9%115 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent53.9%115 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent48.7%115 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.4%115 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent51.3%115 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology