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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

08:30 → 08:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:30 → 08:35 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0830

Settled

Nov 15, 08:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05782
Index at 08:30:00

Final index

$0.05787

Settlement price

$0.05787
Index at 08:35:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.057910.057990.0580808:3008:3108:3208:3308:35PTB 0.05782

Settlement $0.05787

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN57.2%Medium
UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.7%
116 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 08:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Medium44.8%116 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.6%
UP 43.4%56.6% DOWN
Medium48.3%116 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP55.6%
UP 55.6%44.4% DOWN
Medium50.9%116 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium50.0%116 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Low54.3%116 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN61.4%
UP 38.6%61.4% DOWN
Medium44.8%116 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.4%116 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low54.3%116 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Low49.1%116 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:30:00 UTC

08:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.4 bps0.05783ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.4 bps0.05782ok
Median of 2 sources$0.05782

Settlement · 08:35:00 UTC

08:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.4 bps0.05788ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.4 bps0.05787ok
Median of 2 sources$0.05787

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:25 → 08:30Nov 150.057540.05782UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 150.057320.05754UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.4%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 150.057330.05732DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.6%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 150.057630.05733DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 150.057560.05763UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 150.057540.05756UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 150.057440.05754UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.0%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 150.057310.05744UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 150.057470.05731DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.7%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 150.057770.05747DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.4%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 150.057810.05777DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.1%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 150.057930.05781DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.4%116 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent54.3%116 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent54.3%116 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.1%116 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.0%116 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent48.3%116 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology