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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:00 → 09:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:00 → 09:05 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0900

Settled

Nov 15, 09:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05836
Index at 09:00:00

Final index

$0.05898

Settlement price

$0.05898
Index at 09:05:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.058560.058800.0590509:0009:0109:0209:0309:05PTB 0.05836

Settlement $0.05898

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN55.9%Medium
UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.7%
127 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 09:00:10 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium44.9%127 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN52.7%
UP 47.3%52.7% DOWN
Medium47.2%127 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium49.6%127 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Medium48.8%127 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low52.8%127 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium44.1%127 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low54.3%127 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low55.1%127 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low48.8%127 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:00:00 UTC

09:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.9 bps0.05837ok
  • Coinbase−5.2 bps0.05833ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05836ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05836

Settlement · 09:05:00 UTC

09:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.7 bps0.05898ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05898ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.8 bps0.05897ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05898

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:55 → 09:00Nov 150.058040.05836UP5 / 9 UPDOWN56.5%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 150.057880.05804UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 150.057880.05788FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%PUSH
08:40 → 08:45Nov 150.057750.05788UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 150.057870.05775DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 150.057820.05787UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 150.057540.05782UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 150.057320.05754UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.4%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 150.057330.05732DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.6%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 150.057630.05733DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 150.057560.05763UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 150.057540.05756UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.3%127 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent52.8%127 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent55.1%127 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent48.8%127 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent48.8%127 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent47.2%127 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology