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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:20 → 09:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:20 → 09:25 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0920

Settled

Nov 15, 09:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05895
Index at 09:20:00

Final index

$0.05886

Settlement price

$0.05886
Index at 09:25:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058870.058930.058980.0590409:2009:2109:2209:2309:25PTB 0.05895

Settlement $0.05886

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN64.8%High
UP 35.2%64.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.6%
133 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 09:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium45.9%133 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN58.1%
UP 41.9%58.1% DOWN
Medium48.1%133 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.8%
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Medium50.4%133 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.7%
UP 43.3%56.7% DOWN
Medium49.6%133 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low54.1%133 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN60.6%
UP 39.4%60.6% DOWN
Medium44.4%133 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low54.1%133 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low54.9%133 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low50.4%133 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:20:00 UTC

09:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05895ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05895ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+5.2 bps0.05898ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05895

Settlement · 09:25:00 UTC

09:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.5 bps0.05888ok
  • Coinbase−0.5 bps0.05886ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05886ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05886

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:15 → 09:20Nov 150.059040.05895DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 150.058870.05904UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 150.058980.05887DOWN7 / 9 UPUP55.4%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 150.058360.05898UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 150.058040.05836UP5 / 9 UPDOWN56.5%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 150.057880.05804UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 150.057880.05788FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%PUSH
08:40 → 08:45Nov 150.057750.05788UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 150.057870.05775DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 150.057820.05787UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 150.057540.05782UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 150.057320.05754UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.4%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.1%133 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent54.1%133 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent54.9%133 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.4%133 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent49.6%133 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent48.1%133 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology