Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:15 → 09:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled09:15 → 09:20 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0915

Settled

Nov 15, 09:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05904

Index at 09:15:00

Final index

$0.05895

Settlement price

$0.05895

Index at 09:20:00

Outcome

DOWN

Immutable record

Settlement $0.05895

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN

DOWN58.3%High

UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 46.2%; 132 markets
Model version: meta-doge5-v1; published 09:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN52.7%	UP 47.3%52.7% DOWN	Medium	45.5%132 markets	trend-doge5-v209:15:06 UTC	WIN
Momentum Agent	DOWN50.2%	UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN	Medium	48.5%132 markets	momentum-doge5-v209:15:06 UTC	WIN
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN56.4%	UP 43.6%56.4% DOWN	Medium	50.0%132 markets	meanrev-doge5-v209:15:06 UTC	WIN
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN55.5%	UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN	Medium	49.2%132 markets	rsidiv-doge5-v209:15:06 UTC	WIN
Order Flow Agent	DOWN50.2%	UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN	Low	53.8%132 markets	orderflow-doge5-v109:15:06 UTC	WIN
Volatility Agent	DOWN58.3%	UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN	Medium	44.7%132 markets	volatility-doge5-v209:15:06 UTC	WIN
Liquidation Agent	UP52.1%	UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN	Low	53.8%132 markets	liquidation-doge5-v109:15:06 UTC	LOSS
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN51.1%	UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN	Low	54.5%132 markets	oifunding-doge5-v109:15:06 UTC	WIN
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN51.9%	UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN	Low	50.0%132 markets	whaleflow-doge5-v109:15:06 UTC	WIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:15:00 UTC

09:15:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05904ok
Coinbase−0.8 bps0.05904ok
OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05905ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05904

Settlement · 09:20:00 UTC

09:20:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05895ok
Coinbase0.0 bps0.05895ok
OKXUSDT→USD+5.2 bps0.05898ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05895

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
09:10 → 09:15Nov 15	0.05887	0.05904	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN62.5%	LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15	0.05898	0.05887	DOWN	7 / 9 UP	UP55.4%	LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15	0.05836	0.05898	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN55.9%	LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 15	0.05804	0.05836	UP	5 / 9 UP	DOWN56.5%	LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 15	0.05788	0.05804	UP	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN62.0%	LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 15	0.05788	0.05788	FLAT	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.2%	PUSH
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15	0.05775	0.05788	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN68.9%	LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15	0.05787	0.05775	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.2%	WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 15	0.05782	0.05787	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN57.2%	LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 15	0.05754	0.05782	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.1%	LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 15	0.05732	0.05754	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN61.4%	LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 15	0.05733	0.05732	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN70.6%	WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →

1Liquidation Agent53.8%132 mkts
2Order Flow Agent53.8%132 mkts
3OI/Funding Agent54.5%132 mkts
4Whale Flow Agent50.0%132 mkts
5RSI Divergence Agent49.2%132 mkts
6Momentum Agent48.5%132 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology