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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:40 → 09:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:40 → 09:45 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0940

Settled

Nov 15, 09:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05877
Index at 09:40:00

Final index

$0.05879

Settlement price

$0.05879
Index at 09:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.058720.058830.0588809:4009:4109:4209:4309:45PTB 0.05877

Settlement $0.05879

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN57.9%High
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.5%
139 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 09:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.3%
UP 42.7%57.3% DOWN
Medium46.8%139 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Medium48.2%139 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.8%
UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN
Medium51.1%139 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.1%
UP 46.9%53.1% DOWN
Medium50.4%139 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Low54.0%139 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium44.6%139 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.2%139 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low54.0%139 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP52.4%
UP 52.4%47.6% DOWN
Low50.4%139 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:40:00 UTC

09:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05877ok
  • Coinbase+2.9 bps0.05879ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05877ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05877

Settlement · 09:45:00 UTC

09:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05879ok
  • Coinbase+3.0 bps0.05881ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05879ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05879

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:35 → 09:40Nov 150.058720.05877UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.2%LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 150.058940.05872DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.2%WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 150.058950.05886DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.8%WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 150.059040.05895DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 150.058870.05904UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 150.058980.05887DOWN7 / 9 UPUP55.4%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 150.058360.05898UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 150.058040.05836UP5 / 9 UPDOWN56.5%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 150.057880.05804UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 150.057880.05788FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%PUSH
08:40 → 08:45Nov 150.057750.05788UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.2%139 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent54.0%139 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent54.0%139 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.4%139 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.4%139 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent51.1%139 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology