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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

10:00 → 10:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:00 → 10:05 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1000

Settled

Nov 15, 10:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05862
Index at 10:00:00

Final index

$0.05882

Settlement price

$0.05882
Index at 10:05:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.058600.058680.058750.0588310:0010:0110:0210:0310:05PTB 0.05862

Settlement $0.05882

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN60.1%Medium
UP 39.9%60.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.6%
145 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 10:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.9%
UP 43.1%56.9% DOWN
Medium46.2%145 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN58.9%
UP 41.1%58.9% DOWN
Medium47.6%145 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium51.7%145 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.4%
UP 43.6%56.4% DOWN
Medium50.3%145 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low53.1%145 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Medium44.8%145 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.8%145 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low53.8%145 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low51.0%145 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:00:00 UTC

10:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.05862ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05862ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+3.7 bps0.05864ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05862

Settlement · 10:05:00 UTC

10:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05881ok
  • Coinbase+1.4 bps0.05883ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05882ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05882

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:55 → 10:00Nov 150.058720.05862DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.5%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 150.058650.05872UP5 / 9 UPDOWN61.8%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 150.058790.05865DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.6%WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 150.058770.05879UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.9%LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 150.058720.05877UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.2%LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 150.058940.05872DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.2%WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 150.058950.05886DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.8%WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 150.059040.05895DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 150.058870.05904UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 150.058980.05887DOWN7 / 9 UPUP55.4%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 150.058360.05898UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.8%145 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent53.1%145 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent51.0%145 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent53.8%145 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.3%145 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent51.7%145 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology