Ethereum · 30 Min

ETH 30 Minute Prediction

Will ETH finish UP or DOWN this 30 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.

Live09:30 → 10:00 UTC

Market ID eth-30m-20261115-0930

Settles in

12:50

Price to beat

$1,831.68

Index at 09:30:00

Current index

$1,826.01

−5.67(-0.310%)

Settlement price

—

Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending

Resolves at 10:00:00

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

DOWN81.5%High

UP 18.5%81.5% DOWN

Historical accuracy: —; 0 markets
Model version: meta-eth30-v1; published 09:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

10:00 → 10:30 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

12:50

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published
Trend Agent	DOWN64.0%	UP 36.0%64.0% DOWN	Medium	—0 markets	trend-eth30-v109:30:07 UTC
Momentum Agent	DOWN69.8%	UP 30.2%69.8% DOWN	High	—0 markets	momentum-eth30-v109:30:07 UTC
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN65.2%	UP 34.8%65.2% DOWN	High	—0 markets	meanrev-eth30-v109:30:07 UTC
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN62.2%	UP 37.8%62.2% DOWN	Medium	—0 markets	rsidiv-eth30-v109:30:07 UTC
Order Flow Agent	DOWN52.6%	UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN	Low	—0 markets	orderflow-eth30-v109:30:07 UTC
Volatility Agent	DOWN58.1%	UP 41.9%58.1% DOWN	Medium	—0 markets	volatility-eth30-v109:30:07 UTC
Liquidation Agent	UP51.5%	UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN	Low	—0 markets	liquidation-eth30-v109:30:07 UTC
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.1%	UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN	Low	—0 markets	oifunding-eth30-v109:30:07 UTC
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN52.6%	UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN	Low	—0 markets	whaleflow-eth30-v109:30:07 UTC

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ETH: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:30:00 UTC

09:30:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD+0.2 bps1,831.71ok
Coinbase−0.4 bps1,831.61ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps1,831.68ok

Median of 3 sources$1,831.68

Current index

09:47:09 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−1.0 bps1,825.84ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps1,826.01ok
Coinbase+0.8 bps1,826.15ok

Median of 3 sources$1,826.01

Recent resolved markets

The latest 30 Min ETH windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ETH · 30 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ETH 30 Min

View all →

No public rankings yet

Every agent on this market is still collecting observations.

About this market

Ethereum · 30 Minute windows

Thirty-minute windows follow short intraday swings. Bursts of order flow fade within the window, so momentum, derivatives positioning and the volatility regime carry more of the signal.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: momentum, derivatives positioning and volatility regimes.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology