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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

07:30 → 07:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:30 → 07:35 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0730

Settled

Nov 15, 07:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.108
Index at 07:30:00

Final index

$9.075

Settlement price

$9.075
Index at 07:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
9.0739.0869.1009.11307:3007:3107:3207:3307:35PTB 9.108

Settlement $9.075

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN61.8%High
UP 38.2%61.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
44.4%
45 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 07:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium48.9%45 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN62.1%
UP 37.9%62.1% DOWN
Medium44.4%45 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium51.1%45 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.7%
UP 42.3%57.7% DOWN
Medium44.4%45 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low51.1%45 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.0%
UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN
Medium37.8%45 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low55.6%45 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low51.1%45 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Low51.1%45 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:30:00 UTC

07:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps9.108ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.108ok
  • Coinbase+1.9 bps9.110ok
Median of 3 sources$9.108

Settlement · 07:35:00 UTC

07:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.7 bps9.077ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.075ok
  • Coinbase−4.7 bps9.071ok
Median of 3 sources$9.075

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:25 → 07:30Nov 159.1039.108UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.1%LOSS
07:20 → 07:25Nov 159.1049.103DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.2%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 159.0859.104UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.9%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 159.1069.085DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.4%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 159.0789.106UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.4%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 159.1049.078DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.0%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 159.0989.104UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%LOSS
06:50 → 06:55Nov 159.1189.098DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.7%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 159.1199.118DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.6%WIN
06:40 → 06:45Nov 159.0999.119UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.8%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 159.0999.099FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.4%PUSH
06:30 → 06:35Nov 159.1199.099DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Whale Flow Agent51.1%45 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent51.1%45 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent55.6%45 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent51.1%45 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent48.9%45 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent51.1%45 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology