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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

08:35 → 08:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:35 → 08:40 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0835

Settled

Nov 15, 08:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.092
Index at 08:35:00

Final index

$9.067

Settlement price

$9.067
Index at 08:40:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
9.0689.0769.08308:3508:3608:3708:3808:40PTB 9.092

Settlement $9.067

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN66.3%High
UP 33.7%66.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
44.6%
65 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 08:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.8%
UP 44.2%55.8% DOWN
Medium47.7%65 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.3%
UP 40.7%59.3% DOWN
Medium44.6%65 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.4%
UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN
Medium49.2%65 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN60.0%
UP 40.0%60.0% DOWN
Medium44.6%65 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Low47.7%65 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN54.2%
UP 45.8%54.2% DOWN
Medium40.0%65 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low55.4%65 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.8%65 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low43.1%65 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:35:00 UTC

08:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps9.091ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps9.093ok
Median of 2 sources$9.092

Settlement · 08:40:00 UTC

08:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.7 bps9.065ok
  • Coinbase+4.6 bps9.071ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.067ok
Median of 3 sources$9.067

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:30 → 08:35Nov 159.0869.092UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 159.0419.086UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.3%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 159.0039.041UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.6%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 159.0029.003UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.2%LOSS
08:10 → 08:15Nov 159.0449.002DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.2%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 159.0409.044UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.9%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 159.0349.040UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.6%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 159.0199.034UP6 / 9 UPDOWN53.1%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 159.0059.019UP7 / 9 UPUP57.1%WIN
07:45 → 07:50Nov 159.0149.005DOWN6 / 9 UPUP58.3%LOSS
07:40 → 07:45Nov 159.0639.014DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN52.4%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 159.0759.063DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN54.8%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent55.4%65 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent50.8%65 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent47.7%65 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent43.1%65 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent47.7%65 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent49.2%65 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology