Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

10:50 → 10:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:50 → 10:55 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-1050

Settled

Nov 15, 10:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.247
Index at 10:50:00

Final index

$9.258

Settlement price

$9.258
Index at 10:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
9.2399.2459.2519.25710:5010:5110:5210:5310:55PTB 9.247

Settlement $9.258

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN65.7%High
UP 34.3%65.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.4%
108 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 10:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.8%
UP 39.2%60.8% DOWN
Medium47.2%108 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium45.4%108 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN63.8%
UP 36.2%63.8% DOWN
Medium48.1%108 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.1%
UP 41.9%58.1% DOWN
Medium44.4%108 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low44.4%108 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Medium41.7%108 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low56.5%108 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low52.8%108 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low44.4%108 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:50:00 UTC

10:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps9.245ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps9.249ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.247ok
Median of 3 sources$9.247

Settlement · 10:55:00 UTC

10:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.258ok
  • Coinbase−0.3 bps9.258ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.5 bps9.259ok
Median of 3 sources$9.258

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:45 → 10:50Nov 159.2559.247DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 159.2519.255UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 159.2509.251UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.4%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 159.2479.250UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.7%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 159.2529.247DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 159.2529.252FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.0%PUSH
10:15 → 10:20Nov 159.2679.252DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.5%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 159.2619.267UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN73.4%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 159.2399.261UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.5%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 159.2149.239UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 159.2279.214DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.6%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 159.2229.227UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent56.5%108 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent52.8%108 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent44.4%108 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent44.4%108 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent47.2%108 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent48.1%108 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology