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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

10:55 → 11:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:55 → 11:00 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-1055

Settled

Nov 15, 11:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.258
Index at 10:55:00

Final index

$9.269

Settlement price

$9.269
Index at 11:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
9.2549.2639.26810:5510:5610:5710:5811:00PTB 9.258

Settlement $9.269

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN62.5%Medium
UP 37.5%62.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.5%
110 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 10:55:05 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium47.3%110 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN59.4%
UP 40.6%59.4% DOWN
Medium45.5%110 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium48.2%110 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP56.0%
UP 56.0%44.0% DOWN
Medium44.5%110 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low43.6%110 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN62.0%
UP 38.0%62.0% DOWN
Medium41.8%110 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low56.4%110 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low52.7%110 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low44.5%110 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:55:00 UTC

10:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.258ok
  • Coinbase−0.3 bps9.258ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.5 bps9.259ok
Median of 3 sources$9.258

Settlement · 11:00:00 UTC

11:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps9.267ok
  • Coinbase+0.2 bps9.269ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.269ok
Median of 3 sources$9.269

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:50 → 10:55Nov 159.2479.258UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.7%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 159.2559.247DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 159.2519.255UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 159.2509.251UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.4%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 159.2479.250UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.7%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 159.2529.247DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 159.2529.252FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.0%PUSH
10:15 → 10:20Nov 159.2679.252DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.5%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 159.2619.267UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN73.4%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 159.2399.261UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.5%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 159.2149.239UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 159.2279.214DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.6%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent56.4%110 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent52.7%110 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent44.5%110 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent43.6%110 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent47.3%110 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent48.2%110 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology