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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

07:10 → 07:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:10 → 07:15 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0710

Settled

Nov 15, 07:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.142
Index at 07:10:00

Final index

$3.130

Settlement price

$3.130
Index at 07:15:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1273.1323.13607:1007:1107:1207:1307:15PTB 3.142

Settlement $3.130

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN61.3%High
UP 38.7%61.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
36 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 07:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP53.4%
UP 53.4%46.6% DOWN
Medium38.9%36 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN52.7%
UP 47.3%52.7% DOWN
Medium58.3%36 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium38.9%36 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%36 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low55.6%36 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN59.5%
UP 40.5%59.5% DOWN
Medium50.0%36 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low44.4%36 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low52.8%36 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low47.2%36 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:10:00 UTC

07:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.142ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.142ok
  • Coinbase−1.3 bps3.141ok
Median of 3 sources$3.142

Settlement · 07:15:00 UTC

07:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.131ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.0 bps3.130ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.130ok
Median of 3 sources$3.130

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:05 → 07:10Nov 153.1283.142UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.2%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 153.1413.128DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN57.5%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 153.1343.141UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.6%LOSS
06:50 → 06:55Nov 153.1473.134DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 153.1503.147DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
06:40 → 06:45Nov 153.1373.150UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 153.1393.137DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.6%WIN
06:30 → 06:35Nov 153.1493.139DOWN5 / 9 UPUP50.3%LOSS
06:25 → 06:30Nov 153.1373.149UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.9%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 153.1213.137UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%LOSS
06:15 → 06:20Nov 153.0973.121UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%LOSS
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent58.3%36 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent55.6%36 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent52.8%36 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent47.2%36 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent50.0%36 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.0%36 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology