Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

06:30 → 06:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:30 → 06:35 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0630

Settled

Nov 15, 06:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.149
Index at 06:30:00

Final index

$3.139

Settlement price

$3.139
Index at 06:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1373.1413.14606:3006:3106:3206:3306:35PTB 3.149

Settlement $3.139

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
UP50.3%Medium
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
44.0%
25 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 06:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium28.0%25 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium56.0%25 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Medium32.0%25 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium52.0%25 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low44.0%25 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Medium44.0%25 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Low44.0%25 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low52.0%25 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low36.0%25 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:30:00 UTC

06:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.149ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.149ok
  • Coinbase−2.9 bps3.148ok
Median of 3 sources$3.149

Settlement · 06:35:00 UTC

06:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.138ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.139ok
  • Coinbase+2.2 bps3.139ok
Median of 3 sources$3.139

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:25 → 06:30Nov 153.1373.149UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.9%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 153.1213.137UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%LOSS
06:15 → 06:20Nov 153.0973.121UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%LOSS
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
06:05 → 06:10Nov 153.109—VOID6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.6%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 153.1193.109DOWN6 / 9 UPUP56.5%LOSS
05:55 → 06:00Nov 153.1223.119DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.6%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 153.1253.122DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.6%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 153.1303.125DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 153.1283.130UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.0%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 153.1243.128UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 153.1383.124DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.9%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent56.0%25 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent52.0%25 mkts
  3. 3RSI Divergence Agent52.0%25 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent44.0%25 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent44.0%25 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent44.0%25 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology