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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

05:45 → 05:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:45 → 05:50 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0545

Settled

Nov 15, 05:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.130
Index at 05:45:00

Final index

$3.125

Settlement price

$3.125
Index at 05:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1213.1243.12705:4505:4605:4705:4805:50PTB 3.130

Settlement $3.125

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN50.2%Low
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
55.6%
9 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 05:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Medium44.4%9 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium55.6%9 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Medium44.4%9 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium55.6%9 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low22.2%9 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Medium44.4%9 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low33.3%9 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low66.7%9 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low55.6%9 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:45:00 UTC

05:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.130ok
  • Coinbase+2.0 bps3.131ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.130ok
Median of 3 sources$3.130

Settlement · 05:50:00 UTC

05:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.126ok
  • Coinbase−5.8 bps3.124ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.125ok
Median of 3 sources$3.125

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:40 → 05:45Nov 153.1283.130UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.0%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 153.1243.128UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 153.1383.124DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.9%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 153.1393.138DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 153.1393.139FLAT5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%PUSH
05:15 → 05:20Nov 153.1323.139UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.1%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1OI/Funding Agent66.7%9 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent55.6%9 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent55.6%9 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent55.6%9 mkts
  5. 5Meta Agent55.6%9 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent44.4%9 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology