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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

06:05 → 06:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

This window was cancelled (VOID)Offline at settlement

The network was not ingesting prices at the settlement instant. Markets are never settled late from historical data. The predictions below stay on the record as VOID: they are excluded from accuracy, calibration and learning.

Void06:05 → 06:10 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0605

Settled

Nov 15, 06:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.109
Index at 06:05:00

Final index

—

Settlement price

—
Index at 06:10:00

Outcome

VOID
Immutable record
3.1063.1103.1143.11806:0506:0606:0706:0806:10PTB 3.109
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsVOID
DOWN55.6%Medium
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.1%
17 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 06:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium35.3%17 marketsVOID
Momentum AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium58.8%17 marketsVOID
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.8%
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Medium35.3%17 marketsVOID
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.5%
UP 47.5%52.5% DOWN
Medium52.9%17 marketsVOID
Order Flow AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Low41.2%17 marketsVOID
Volatility AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium47.1%17 marketsVOID
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low35.3%17 marketsVOID
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low58.8%17 marketsVOID
Whale Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low41.2%17 marketsVOID

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:05:00 UTC

06:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+9.0 bps3.112ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.2 bps3.109ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.109ok
Median of 3 sources$3.109

Settlement · 06:10:00 UTC

Available at settlement.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:00 → 06:05Nov 153.1193.109DOWN6 / 9 UPUP56.5%LOSS
05:55 → 06:00Nov 153.1223.119DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.6%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 153.1253.122DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.6%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 153.1303.125DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 153.1283.130UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.0%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 153.1243.128UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 153.1383.124DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.9%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 153.1393.138DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 153.1393.139FLAT5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%PUSH
05:15 → 05:20Nov 153.1323.139UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.1%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent58.8%17 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent58.8%17 mkts
  3. 3RSI Divergence Agent52.9%17 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent47.1%17 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent41.2%17 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent47.1%17 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology