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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

06:00 → 06:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:00 → 06:05 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0600

Settled

Nov 15, 06:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.119
Index at 06:00:00

Final index

$3.109

Settlement price

$3.109
Index at 06:05:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1083.1123.1173.12106:0006:0106:0206:0306:05PTB 3.119

Settlement $3.109

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
UP56.5%Medium
UP 56.5%43.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
40.0%
15 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 06:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium40.0%15 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP53.3%
UP 53.3%46.7% DOWN
Medium53.3%15 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium40.0%15 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentUP53.0%
UP 53.0%47.0% DOWN
Medium46.7%15 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Low40.0%15 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP56.2%
UP 56.2%43.8% DOWN
Medium40.0%15 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low33.3%15 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low53.3%15 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low46.7%15 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:00:00 UTC

06:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.119ok
  • Coinbase+3.1 bps3.120ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.119ok
Median of 3 sources$3.119

Settlement · 06:05:00 UTC

06:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+9.0 bps3.112ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.109ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.2 bps3.109ok
Median of 3 sources$3.109

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:55 → 06:00Nov 153.1223.119DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.6%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 153.1253.122DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.6%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 153.1303.125DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 153.1283.130UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.0%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 153.1243.128UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 153.1383.124DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.9%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 153.1393.138DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 153.1393.139FLAT5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%PUSH
05:15 → 05:20Nov 153.1323.139UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.1%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1OI/Funding Agent53.3%15 mkts
  2. 2Momentum Agent53.3%15 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent46.7%15 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent46.7%15 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent40.0%15 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent40.0%15 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology