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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

07:40 → 07:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:40 → 07:45 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-0740

Settled

Nov 15, 07:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.130
Index at 07:40:00

Final index

$3.113

Settlement price

$3.113
Index at 07:45:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1133.1213.13607:4007:4107:4207:4307:45PTB 3.130

Settlement $3.113

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN51.5%Medium
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.8%
43 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 07:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Medium39.5%43 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Medium53.5%43 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Medium39.5%43 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium46.5%43 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Low55.8%43 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium46.5%43 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low48.8%43 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.2%43 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low46.5%43 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:40:00 UTC

07:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.0 bps3.131ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.130ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.6 bps3.130ok
Median of 3 sources$3.130

Settlement · 07:45:00 UTC

07:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.113ok
  • Coinbase+0.7 bps3.114ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−4.8 bps3.112ok
Median of 3 sources$3.113

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:35 → 07:40Nov 153.1293.130UP6 / 9 UPUP55.7%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 153.1383.129DOWN7 / 9 UPUP56.3%LOSS
07:25 → 07:30Nov 153.1383.138FLAT7 / 9 DOWNUP50.0%PUSH
07:20 → 07:25Nov 153.1323.138UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
07:15 → 07:20Nov 153.1303.132UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.8%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 153.1423.130DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.3%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 153.1283.142UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.2%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 153.1413.128DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN57.5%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 153.1343.141UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.6%LOSS
06:50 → 06:55Nov 153.1473.134DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 153.1503.147DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
06:40 → 06:45Nov 153.1373.150UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent55.8%43 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent51.2%43 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent48.8%43 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent53.5%43 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent46.5%43 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent46.5%43 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology