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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

10:45 → 10:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:45 → 10:50 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-1045

Settled

Nov 15, 10:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.175
Index at 10:45:00

Final index

$3.176

Settlement price

$3.176
Index at 10:50:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
3.1693.1713.1743.17610:4510:4610:4710:4810:50PTB 3.175

Settlement $3.176

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN57.5%Medium
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.5%
101 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 10:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP56.1%
UP 56.1%43.9% DOWN
Medium43.6%101 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium54.5%101 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium42.6%101 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.5%
UP 43.5%56.5% DOWN
Medium54.5%101 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Low53.5%101 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN53.2%
UP 46.8%53.2% DOWN
Medium48.5%101 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low45.5%101 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low54.5%101 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Low52.5%101 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:45:00 UTC

10:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.9 bps3.175ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.175ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps3.175ok
Median of 3 sources$3.175

Settlement · 10:50:00 UTC

10:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps3.175ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.176ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps3.176ok
Median of 3 sources$3.176

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:40 → 10:45Nov 153.1773.175DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.1%WIN
10:35 → 10:40Nov 153.1703.177UP5 / 9 UPUP53.3%WIN
10:30 → 10:35Nov 153.1663.170UP5 / 9 UPUP50.1%WIN
10:25 → 10:30Nov 153.1663.166FLAT5 / 9 UPUP52.4%PUSH
10:20 → 10:25Nov 153.1753.166DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.0%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 153.1803.175DOWN5 / 9 UPUP51.7%LOSS
10:10 → 10:15Nov 153.1833.180DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.9%WIN
10:05 → 10:10Nov 153.1713.183UP6 / 9 UPUP50.5%WIN
10:00 → 10:05Nov 153.1553.171UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.1%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 153.1653.155DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.2%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 153.1573.165UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.4%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 153.1803.157DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent54.5%101 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent54.5%101 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent53.5%101 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent52.5%101 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent54.5%101 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent48.5%101 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology