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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

11:20 → 11:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:20 → 11:25 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-1120

Settled

Nov 15, 11:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.185
Index at 11:20:00

Final index

$3.183

Settlement price

$3.183
Index at 11:25:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1823.1893.19211:2011:2111:2211:2311:25PTB 3.185

Settlement $3.183

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
UP50.9%Medium
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.4%
111 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 11:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 UP

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Medium44.1%111 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium53.2%111 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP52.7%
UP 52.7%47.3% DOWN
Medium42.3%111 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Medium53.2%111 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low57.7%111 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Medium46.8%111 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low45.0%111 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low53.2%111 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low55.0%111 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:20:00 UTC

11:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.185ok
  • Coinbase+5.0 bps3.187ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.185ok
Median of 3 sources$3.185

Settlement · 11:25:00 UTC

11:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.6 bps3.183ok
  • Coinbase−1.6 bps3.182ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.183ok
Median of 3 sources$3.183

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:15 → 11:20Nov 153.1773.185UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.9%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 153.1733.177UP5 / 9 DOWNUP55.4%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 153.1733.173FLAT5 / 9 UPUP50.9%PUSH
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 153.1833.182DOWN7 / 9 UPUP54.2%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 153.1763.183UP5 / 9 UPUP51.7%WIN
10:45 → 10:50Nov 153.1753.176UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
10:40 → 10:45Nov 153.1773.175DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.1%WIN
10:35 → 10:40Nov 153.1703.177UP5 / 9 UPUP53.3%WIN
10:30 → 10:35Nov 153.1663.170UP5 / 9 UPUP50.1%WIN
10:25 → 10:30Nov 153.1663.166FLAT5 / 9 UPUP52.4%PUSH
10:20 → 10:25Nov 153.1753.166DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.0%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1RSI Divergence Agent53.2%111 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent57.7%111 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent55.0%111 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent53.2%111 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent53.2%111 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent51.4%111 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology