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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

14:05 → 14:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled14:05 → 14:10 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-1405

Settled

Nov 15, 14:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.134
Index at 14:05:00

Final index

$3.134

Settlement price

$3.134
Index at 14:10:00

Outcome

FLAT
Immutable record
3.1253.1293.1333.13714:0514:0614:0714:0814:10PTB 3.134

Settlement $3.134

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsPUSH
DOWN51.7%Medium
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.6%
170 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 14:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 14:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP55.6%
UP 55.6%44.4% DOWN
Medium48.8%170 marketsPUSH
Momentum AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%170 marketsPUSH
Mean Reversion AgentUP53.7%
UP 53.7%46.3% DOWN
Medium50.6%170 marketsPUSH
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Medium50.0%170 marketsPUSH
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Low54.7%170 marketsPUSH
Volatility AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium48.2%170 marketsPUSH
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low45.3%170 marketsPUSH
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low53.5%170 marketsPUSH
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low54.1%170 marketsPUSH

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 14:05:00 UTC

14:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.134ok
  • Coinbase+7.2 bps3.136ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.133ok
Median of 3 sources$3.134

Settlement · 14:10:00 UTC

14:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps3.134ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.134ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps3.134ok
Median of 3 sources$3.134

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
14:00 → 14:05Nov 153.1613.134DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.0%WIN
13:55 → 14:00Nov 153.1723.161DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.1%WIN
13:50 → 13:55Nov 153.1743.172DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.0%WIN
13:45 → 13:50Nov 153.1763.174DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%WIN
13:40 → 13:45Nov 153.1763.176FLAT5 / 9 UPDOWN54.5%PUSH
13:35 → 13:40Nov 153.1853.176DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%WIN
13:30 → 13:35Nov 153.1913.185DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.1%WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 153.1933.191DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.0%LOSS
13:20 → 13:25Nov 153.1793.193UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.9%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 153.1813.179DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.9%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 153.1843.181DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.6%WIN
13:05 → 13:10Nov 153.1813.184UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent54.7%170 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent54.1%170 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent53.5%170 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent50.0%170 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.6%170 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent50.6%170 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology