Market record

SOL Up or Down · 5 Min

14:10 → 14:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled14:10 → 14:15 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-1410

Settled

Nov 15, 14:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$72.18

Index at 14:10:00

Final index

$72.28

Settlement price

$72.28

Index at 14:15:00

Outcome

Immutable record

Settlement $72.28

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS

DOWN55.9%Medium

UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 51.7%; 238 markets
Model version: meta-sol5-v1; published 14:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 14:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN56.9%	UP 43.1%56.9% DOWN	Medium	47.7%239 markets	trend-sol5-v114:10:04 UTC	LOSS
Momentum Agent	DOWN55.1%	UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN	Medium	48.5%239 markets	momentum-sol5-v114:10:04 UTC	LOSS
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN55.0%	UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN	Medium	50.2%239 markets	meanrev-sol5-v114:10:04 UTC	LOSS
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN57.7%	UP 42.3%57.7% DOWN	Medium	49.4%239 markets	rsidiv-sol5-v114:10:04 UTC	LOSS
Order Flow Agent	DOWN52.3%	UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN	Low	54.8%239 markets	orderflow-sol5-v114:10:04 UTC	LOSS
Volatility Agent	DOWN51.4%	UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN	Medium	46.6%238 markets	volatility-sol5-v214:10:04 UTC	LOSS
Liquidation Agent	DOWN52.2%	UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN	Low	51.7%238 markets	liquidation-sol5-v114:10:04 UTC	LOSS
OI/Funding Agent	UP50.7%	UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN	Low	50.4%238 markets	oifunding-sol5-v114:10:04 UTC	WIN
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN52.5%	UP 47.5%52.5% DOWN	Low	47.5%238 markets	whaleflow-sol5-v114:10:04 UTC	LOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 14:10:00 UTC

14:10:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−0.7 bps72.18ok
Coinbase+1.1 bps72.19ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps72.18ok

Median of 3 sources$72.18

Settlement · 14:15:00 UTC

14:15:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−0.7 bps72.28ok
Coinbase+1.2 bps72.29ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps72.28ok

Median of 3 sources$72.28

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
14:05 → 14:10Nov 15	72.23	72.18	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.3%	WIN
14:00 → 14:05Nov 15	72.56	72.23	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN55.0%	WIN
13:55 → 14:00Nov 15	72.74	72.56	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN52.9%	WIN
13:50 → 13:55Nov 15	72.78	72.74	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.2%	WIN
13:45 → 13:50Nov 15	72.69	72.78	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN51.0%	LOSS
13:40 → 13:45Nov 15	72.58	72.69	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN52.0%	LOSS
13:35 → 13:40Nov 15	72.82	72.58	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN50.8%	WIN
13:30 → 13:35Nov 15	72.90	72.82	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN51.3%	WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 15	73.12	72.90	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	UP50.7%	LOSS
13:20 → 13:25Nov 15	72.94	73.12	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	UP50.9%	WIN
13:15 → 13:20Nov 15	72.96	72.94	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN50.3%	WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 15	72.93	72.96	UP	5 / 9 UP	DOWN50.8%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →

1Order Flow Agent54.8%239 mkts
2OI/Funding Agent50.4%238 mkts
3Liquidation Agent51.7%238 mkts
4Mean Reversion Agent50.2%239 mkts
5RSI Divergence Agent49.4%239 mkts
6Whale Flow Agent47.5%238 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology