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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 15 Min

03:30 → 03:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:30 → 03:45 UTC

Market ID xrp-15m-20261115-0330

Settled

Nov 15, 03:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9623
Index at 03:30:00

Final index

$0.9672

Settlement price

$0.9672
Index at 03:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.96050.96480.967003:3003:3303:3703:4103:45PTB 0.9623

Settlement $0.9672

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN52.9%Low
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
5 markets
Model version
meta-xrp15-v1
published 03:30:06 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.8%
UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN
Medium0.0%5 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Medium0.0%5 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Medium0.0%5 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low60.0%5 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN55.3%
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Medium0.0%5 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%5 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low60.0%5 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low60.0%5 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:30:00 UTC

03:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9623ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9623ok
  • Coinbase+1.6 bps0.9625ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9623

Settlement · 03:45:00 UTC

03:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.9670ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9672ok
  • Coinbase+2.9 bps0.9675ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9672

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:15 → 03:30Nov 150.96180.9623UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%LOSS
03:00 → 03:15Nov 150.95390.9618UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%LOSS
02:45 → 03:00Nov 150.95060.9539UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 150.94420.9506UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%5 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent60.0%5 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent60.0%5 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent60.0%5 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent20.0%5 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent0.0%5 mkts

About this market

XRP · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology