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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

03:20 → 03:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:20 → 03:25 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0320

Settled

Nov 15, 03:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9654
Index at 03:20:00

Final index

$0.9627

Settlement price

$0.9627
Index at 03:25:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.96280.96370.964603:2003:2103:2203:2303:25PTB 0.9654

Settlement $0.9627

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN62.0%High
UP 38.0%62.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
29.4%
17 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 03:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.7%
UP 42.3%57.7% DOWN
Medium23.5%17 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN54.9%
UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN
Medium23.5%17 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN62.8%
UP 37.2%62.8% DOWN
Medium23.5%17 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium29.4%17 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low29.4%17 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium23.5%17 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low70.6%17 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low35.3%17 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP52.5%
UP 52.5%47.5% DOWN
Low35.3%17 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:20:00 UTC

03:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9654ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9653ok
  • Coinbase+1.2 bps0.9655ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9654

Settlement · 03:25:00 UTC

03:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9627ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9627ok
  • Coinbase+1.6 bps0.9629ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9627

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:15 → 03:20Nov 150.96180.9654UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.9%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 150.95840.9618UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%LOSS
03:05 → 03:10Nov 150.95630.9584UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.7%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 150.95390.9563UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 150.95260.9539UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.3%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 150.95100.9526UP5 / 9 DOWNUP55.1%WIN
02:45 → 02:50Nov 150.95060.9510UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.6%LOSS
02:40 → 02:45Nov 150.94720.9506UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.2%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 150.94520.9472UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 150.94420.9452UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.6%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 150.94280.9442UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent70.6%17 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent35.3%17 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent35.3%17 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent29.4%17 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent29.4%17 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent29.4%17 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology