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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

03:55 → 04:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:55 → 04:00 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0355

Settled

Nov 15, 04:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9631
Index at 03:55:00

Final index

$0.9666

Settlement price

$0.9666
Index at 04:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.96440.96550.966703:5503:5603:5703:5804:00PTB 0.9631

Settlement $0.9666

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN59.1%High
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
37.9%
29 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 03:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.8%
UP 41.2%58.8% DOWN
Medium31.0%29 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN53.8%
UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN
Medium34.5%29 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN61.2%
UP 38.8%61.2% DOWN
Medium31.0%29 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium37.9%29 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low31.0%29 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Medium27.6%29 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Low65.5%29 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low44.8%29 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low34.5%29 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:55:00 UTC

03:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9631ok
  • Coinbase+2.3 bps0.9633ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9630ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9631

Settlement · 04:00:00 UTC

04:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9666ok
  • Coinbase+3.6 bps0.9669ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9665ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9666

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:50 → 03:55Nov 150.96290.9631UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.1%LOSS
03:45 → 03:50Nov 150.96720.9629DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN58.8%WIN
03:40 → 03:45Nov 150.96400.9672UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.3%LOSS
03:35 → 03:40Nov 150.96190.9640UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.4%LOSS
03:30 → 03:35Nov 150.96230.9619DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN60.8%WIN
03:25 → 03:30Nov 150.96270.9623DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.9%WIN
03:20 → 03:25Nov 150.96540.9627DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%WIN
03:15 → 03:20Nov 150.96180.9654UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.9%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 150.95840.9618UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%LOSS
03:05 → 03:10Nov 150.95630.9584UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.7%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 150.95390.9563UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 150.95260.9539UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent65.5%29 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent44.8%29 mkts
  3. 3RSI Divergence Agent37.9%29 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent37.9%29 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent34.5%29 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent34.5%29 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology