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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

09:30 → 09:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:30 → 09:35 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-0930

Settled

Nov 15, 09:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$910.88
Index at 09:30:00

Final index

$908.27

Settlement price

$908.27
Index at 09:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
908.01909.50912.4709:3009:3109:3209:3309:35PTB 910.88

Settlement $908.27

DOWN55.8%Medium
UP 44.2%55.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.6%
85 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 09:30:08 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium50.6%85 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN53.2%
UP 46.8%53.2% DOWN
Medium52.9%85 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Medium51.8%85 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium55.3%85 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low47.1%85 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium47.1%85 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low44.7%85 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low50.6%85 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low50.6%85 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:30:00 UTC

09:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.3 bps911.00ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps910.88ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps910.66ok
Median of 3 sources$910.88

Settlement · 09:35:00 UTC

09:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.6 bps908.21ok
  • Coinbase+1.3 bps908.39ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps908.27ok
Median of 3 sources$908.27

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 15913.90907.56DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN54.1%WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 15916.10913.90DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.7%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 15916.19916.10DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN73.1%WIN
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15914.08916.19UP5 / 9 UPDOWN74.6%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15899.79914.08UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.5%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 15894.48899.79UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.9%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 15892.56894.48UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.3%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 15893.52892.56DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP51.2%LOSS
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15890.86893.52UP5 / 9 UPUP52.7%WIN
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15894.06890.86DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 15895.48894.06DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.8%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1OI/Funding Agent50.6%85 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent50.6%85 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent51.8%85 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent50.6%85 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent47.1%85 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent55.3%85 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology