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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

13:00 → 13:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:00 → 13:05 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1300

Settled

Nov 15, 13:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$920.65
Index at 13:00:00

Final index

$918.24

Settlement price

$918.24
Index at 13:05:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
918.36919.74921.11922.4913:0013:0113:0213:0313:05PTB 920.65

Settlement $918.24

DOWN50.2%Low
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
57.0%
158 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 13:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 UP

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium58.2%158 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Medium56.3%158 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Medium56.3%158 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP53.3%
UP 53.3%46.7% DOWN
Medium60.1%158 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low45.6%158 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.7%
UP 46.3%53.7% DOWN
Medium51.3%158 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low45.6%158 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low49.4%158 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low50.6%158 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:00:00 UTC

13:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps920.65ok
  • Coinbase+3.1 bps920.94ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps920.61ok
Median of 3 sources$920.65

Settlement · 13:05:00 UTC

13:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps918.24ok
  • Coinbase+4.6 bps918.67ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps918.20ok
Median of 3 sources$918.24

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:55 → 13:00Nov 15922.63920.65DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%WIN
12:50 → 12:55Nov 15920.49922.63UP7 / 9 UPUP56.6%WIN
12:45 → 12:50Nov 15924.06920.49DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 15922.99924.06UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%LOSS
12:35 → 12:40Nov 15922.76922.99UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS
12:30 → 12:35Nov 15919.90922.76UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 15921.45919.90DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%WIN
12:20 → 12:25Nov 15920.90921.45UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 15917.33920.90UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 15918.10917.33DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP51.8%LOSS
12:05 → 12:10Nov 15917.71918.10UP5 / 9 UPUP53.6%WIN
12:00 → 12:05Nov 15918.44917.71DOWN6 / 9 UPUP51.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Meta Agent57.0%158 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent60.1%158 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent58.2%158 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent56.3%158 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent56.3%158 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent50.6%158 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology