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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

12:55 → 13:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:55 → 13:00 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1255

Settled

Nov 15, 13:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$922.63
Index at 12:55:00

Final index

$920.65

Settlement price

$920.65
Index at 13:00:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
919.70920.83921.95923.0812:5512:5612:5712:5813:00PTB 922.63

Settlement $920.65

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN54.1%Medium
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
57.1%
156 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 12:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Medium57.7%156 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium56.4%156 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Medium56.4%156 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium60.3%156 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low45.5%156 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN55.4%
UP 44.6%55.4% DOWN
Medium51.3%156 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low45.5%156 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low49.4%156 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low50.0%156 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:55:00 UTC

12:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps922.63ok
  • Coinbase+2.7 bps922.88ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.4 bps922.60ok
Median of 3 sources$922.63

Settlement · 13:00:00 UTC

13:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps920.65ok
  • Coinbase+3.1 bps920.94ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps920.61ok
Median of 3 sources$920.65

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:50 → 12:55Nov 15920.49922.63UP7 / 9 UPUP56.6%WIN
12:45 → 12:50Nov 15924.06920.49DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 15922.99924.06UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%LOSS
12:35 → 12:40Nov 15922.76922.99UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS
12:30 → 12:35Nov 15919.90922.76UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 15921.45919.90DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%WIN
12:20 → 12:25Nov 15920.90921.45UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 15917.33920.90UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 15918.10917.33DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP51.8%LOSS
12:05 → 12:10Nov 15917.71918.10UP5 / 9 UPUP53.6%WIN
12:00 → 12:05Nov 15918.44917.71DOWN6 / 9 UPUP51.9%LOSS
11:55 → 12:00Nov 15922.14918.44DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Meta Agent57.1%156 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent56.4%156 mkts
  3. 3RSI Divergence Agent60.3%156 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent57.7%156 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent56.4%156 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent49.4%156 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology