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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

13:30 → 13:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:30 → 13:35 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1330

Settled

Nov 15, 13:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$914.73
Index at 13:30:00

Final index

$912.87

Settlement price

$912.87
Index at 13:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
909.76911.43913.1013:3013:3113:3213:3313:35PTB 914.73

Settlement $912.87

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN57.1%Medium
UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
57.7%
168 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 13:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.9%
UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN
Medium58.9%168 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN57.1%
UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN
Medium56.5%168 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Medium57.1%168 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.8%
UP 44.2%55.8% DOWN
Medium60.1%168 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low45.8%168 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN61.1%
UP 38.9%61.1% DOWN
Medium52.4%168 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low45.2%168 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low50.0%168 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low50.0%168 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:30:00 UTC

13:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps914.73ok
  • Coinbase+0.7 bps914.80ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.2 bps914.53ok
Median of 3 sources$914.73

Settlement · 13:35:00 UTC

13:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.1 bps912.77ok
  • Coinbase+1.9 bps913.04ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps912.87ok
Median of 3 sources$912.87

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:25 → 13:30Nov 15914.87914.73DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN52.9%WIN
13:20 → 13:25Nov 15912.13914.87UP8 / 9 UPUP67.1%WIN
13:15 → 13:20Nov 15917.42912.13DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 15916.84917.42UP6 / 9 UPUP58.1%WIN
13:05 → 13:10Nov 15918.24916.84DOWN6 / 9 UPDOWN50.7%WIN
13:00 → 13:05Nov 15920.65918.24DOWN7 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%WIN
12:55 → 13:00Nov 15922.63920.65DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%WIN
12:50 → 12:55Nov 15920.49922.63UP7 / 9 UPUP56.6%WIN
12:45 → 12:50Nov 15924.06920.49DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 15922.99924.06UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%LOSS
12:35 → 12:40Nov 15922.76922.99UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS
12:30 → 12:35Nov 15919.90922.76UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Meta Agent57.7%168 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent58.9%168 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent57.1%168 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent60.1%168 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent56.5%168 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent52.4%168 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology