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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

13:30 → 13:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:30 → 13:35 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1330

Settled

Nov 15, 13:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$596.69
Index at 13:30:00

Final index

$595.89

Settlement price

$595.89
Index at 13:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
595.61595.96596.3013:3013:3113:3213:3313:35PTB 596.69

Settlement $595.89

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN52.2%Low
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.3%
226 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 13:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.2%
UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN
Medium48.2%226 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN57.7%
UP 42.3%57.7% DOWN
Medium47.8%226 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium48.7%226 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium49.1%226 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low52.2%226 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Medium45.1%226 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low51.8%226 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low46.0%226 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low51.3%226 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:30:00 UTC

13:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.69ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.8 bps596.80ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.6 bps596.66ok
Median of 3 sources$596.69

Settlement · 13:35:00 UTC

13:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps595.93ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.5 bps595.86ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.89ok
Median of 3 sources$595.89

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:25 → 13:30Nov 15597.52596.69DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
13:20 → 13:25Nov 15597.11597.52UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 15597.58597.11DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 15597.45597.58UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%LOSS
13:05 → 13:10Nov 15597.68597.45DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%WIN
13:00 → 13:05Nov 15597.60597.68UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
12:55 → 13:00Nov 15597.55597.60UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.6%LOSS
12:50 → 12:55Nov 15597.05597.55UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.8%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 15597.49597.05DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.5%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 15597.18597.49UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
12:35 → 12:40Nov 15597.84597.18DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.0%WIN
12:30 → 12:35Nov 15597.67597.84UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent52.2%226 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent51.8%226 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent51.3%226 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent46.0%226 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent48.7%226 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent48.2%226 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology