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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

13:35 → 13:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:35 → 13:40 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1335

Settled

Nov 15, 13:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$595.89
Index at 13:35:00

Final index

$595.53

Settlement price

$595.53
Index at 13:40:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
595.39595.68595.97596.2613:3513:3613:3713:3813:40PTB 595.89

Settlement $595.53

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN51.4%Medium
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.9%
228 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 13:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Medium47.8%228 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium47.4%228 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium48.2%228 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.9%
UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN
Medium48.7%228 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low52.2%228 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Medium45.2%228 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low51.8%228 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low46.1%228 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low51.3%228 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:35:00 UTC

13:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps595.93ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.5 bps595.86ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.89ok
Median of 3 sources$595.89

Settlement · 13:40:00 UTC

13:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.53ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.4 bps595.50ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.1 bps595.53ok
Median of 3 sources$595.53

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:30 → 13:35Nov 15596.69595.89DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.2%WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 15597.52596.69DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
13:20 → 13:25Nov 15597.11597.52UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 15597.58597.11DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 15597.45597.58UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%LOSS
13:05 → 13:10Nov 15597.68597.45DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%WIN
13:00 → 13:05Nov 15597.60597.68UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
12:55 → 13:00Nov 15597.55597.60UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.6%LOSS
12:50 → 12:55Nov 15597.05597.55UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.8%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 15597.49597.05DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.5%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 15597.18597.49UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
12:35 → 12:40Nov 15597.84597.18DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.0%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent52.2%228 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent51.8%228 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent51.3%228 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent46.1%228 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent48.2%228 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent47.8%228 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology