Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

13:40 → 13:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled13:40 → 13:45 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1340

Settled

Nov 15, 13:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$595.53
Index at 13:40:00

Final index

$596.60

Settlement price

$596.60
Index at 13:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
595.30595.72596.13596.5513:4013:4113:4213:4313:45PTB 595.53

Settlement $596.60

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN52.6%Medium
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.4%
230 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 13:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 13:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Medium47.8%230 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium47.4%230 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Medium48.3%230 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium48.7%230 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Low52.2%230 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium45.2%230 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low51.7%230 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low46.1%230 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low51.3%230 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 13:40:00 UTC

13:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.53ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.4 bps595.50ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.1 bps595.53ok
Median of 3 sources$595.53

Settlement · 13:45:00 UTC

13:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.60ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.4 bps596.58ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.3 bps596.62ok
Median of 3 sources$596.60

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
13:35 → 13:40Nov 15595.89595.53DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN
13:30 → 13:35Nov 15596.69595.89DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.2%WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 15597.52596.69DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
13:20 → 13:25Nov 15597.11597.52UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 15597.58597.11DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 15597.45597.58UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%LOSS
13:05 → 13:10Nov 15597.68597.45DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%WIN
13:00 → 13:05Nov 15597.60597.68UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
12:55 → 13:00Nov 15597.55597.60UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.6%LOSS
12:50 → 12:55Nov 15597.05597.55UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.8%LOSS
12:45 → 12:50Nov 15597.49597.05DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.5%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 15597.18597.49UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent52.2%230 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.3%230 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent51.7%230 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent46.1%230 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent48.3%230 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent47.8%230 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology