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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

14:05 → 14:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled14:05 → 14:10 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1405

Settled

Nov 15, 14:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$594.00
Index at 14:05:00

Final index

$593.64

Settlement price

$593.64
Index at 14:10:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
593.02593.37593.7214:0514:0614:0714:0814:10PTB 594.00

Settlement $593.64

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
UP51.3%Low
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.9%
239 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 14:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 14:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Medium47.3%239 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium47.7%239 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Medium48.1%239 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium49.0%239 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP52.0%
UP 52.0%48.0% DOWN
Low51.9%239 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Medium44.8%239 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.6%239 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low44.4%239 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low51.0%239 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 14:05:00 UTC

14:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps594.00ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.3 bps594.07ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.8 bps593.90ok
Median of 3 sources$594.00

Settlement · 14:10:00 UTC

14:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.4 bps593.49ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps593.64ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.2 bps593.65ok
Median of 3 sources$593.64

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
14:00 → 14:05Nov 15596.35594.00DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.0%WIN
13:55 → 14:00Nov 15597.04596.35DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%WIN
13:50 → 13:55Nov 15596.76597.04UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.3%LOSS
13:45 → 13:50Nov 15596.60596.76UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
13:40 → 13:45Nov 15595.53596.60UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.6%LOSS
13:35 → 13:40Nov 15595.89595.53DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN
13:30 → 13:35Nov 15596.69595.89DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.2%WIN
13:25 → 13:30Nov 15597.52596.69DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
13:20 → 13:25Nov 15597.11597.52UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS
13:15 → 13:20Nov 15597.58597.11DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%WIN
13:10 → 13:15Nov 15597.45597.58UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%LOSS
13:05 → 13:10Nov 15597.68597.45DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent50.6%239 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.0%239 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent51.9%239 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent44.4%239 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent48.1%239 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.0%239 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology