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PROBORA

Market record

ETH Up or Down · 5 Min

06:10 → 06:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

This window was cancelled (VOID)Not opened

The network was offline when this window started, so it was skipped: no Price To Beat and no predictions. It produces no accuracy, calibration or learning data.

Void06:10 → 06:15 UTC

Market ID eth-5m-20261115-0610

Settled

Nov 15, 06:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

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Index at 06:10:00

Final index

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Settlement price

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Index at 06:15:00

Outcome

VOID
Immutable record
06:1006:1106:1206:1306:15No index data was recorded for this window.
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

No prediction: this window was not opened.

Base consensus

No prediction: this window was not opened.

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Momentum AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Mean Reversion AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
RSI Divergence AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Order Flow AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Volatility AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Liquidation AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
OI/Funding AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Whale Flow AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ETH: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:10:00 UTC

Fixed when the window opens.

Settlement · 06:15:00 UTC

Available at settlement.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ETH windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:05 → 06:10Nov 151,790.34—VOID6 / 9 UPUP54.6%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 151,799.001,790.34DOWN5 / 9 UPUP50.7%LOSS
05:55 → 06:00Nov 151,803.991,799.00DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 151,805.431,803.99DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.6%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 151,806.311,805.43DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.0%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 151,805.001,806.31UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.6%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 151,805.951,805.00DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%WIN
05:30 → 05:35Nov 151,807.731,805.95DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.4%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 151,809.941,807.73DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.0%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 151,810.841,809.94DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 151,809.941,810.84UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%LOSS
05:10 → 05:15Nov 151,807.061,809.94UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ETH · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ETH 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent58.9%73 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent57.5%73 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent54.8%73 mkts
  4. 4Liquidation Agent57.5%73 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent54.8%73 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent57.5%73 mkts

About this market

Ethereum · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology