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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 15 Min

03:30 → 03:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:30 → 03:45 UTC

Market ID hype-15m-20261115-0330

Settled

Nov 15, 03:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.095
Index at 03:30:00

Final index

$66.193

Settlement price

$66.193
Index at 03:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
65.84265.95566.18003:3003:3303:3703:4103:45PTB 66.095

Settlement $66.193

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN53.5%Medium
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
40.0%
5 markets
Model version
meta-hype15-v1
published 03:30:06 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Medium40.0%5 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.1%
UP 51.1%48.9% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low20.0%5 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN58.2%
UP 41.8%58.2% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low80.0%5 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low40.0%5 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low20.0%5 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:30:00 UTC

03:30:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps66.101ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.095ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.7 bps66.077ok
Median of 3 sources$66.095

Settlement · 03:45:00 UTC

03:45:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps66.190ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.4 bps66.195ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps66.193ok
Median of 3 sources$66.193

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:15 → 03:30Nov 1566.26066.095DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%WIN
03:00 → 03:15Nov 1566.09666.260UP5 / 9 DOWNUP51.5%WIN
02:45 → 03:00Nov 1565.97066.096UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 1565.79965.970UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent80.0%5 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent60.0%5 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent60.0%5 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent40.0%5 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent40.0%5 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent40.0%5 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology