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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

09:00 → 09:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:00 → 09:05 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0900

Settled

Nov 15, 09:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.138
Index at 09:00:00

Final index

$9.228

Settlement price

$9.228
Index at 09:05:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
9.1229.1629.2029.24209:0009:0109:0209:0309:05PTB 9.138

Settlement $9.228

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN70.0%High
UP 30.0%70.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
44.6%
74 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 09:00:10 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.4%
UP 40.6%59.4% DOWN
Medium47.3%74 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN61.5%
UP 38.5%61.5% DOWN
Medium44.6%74 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN59.4%
UP 40.6%59.4% DOWN
Medium48.6%74 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.3%
UP 40.7%59.3% DOWN
Medium44.6%74 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low47.3%74 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN57.3%
UP 42.7%57.3% DOWN
Medium41.9%74 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low55.4%74 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low50.0%74 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low43.2%74 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:00:00 UTC

09:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.0 bps9.135ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps9.138ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps9.139ok
Median of 3 sources$9.138

Settlement · 09:05:00 UTC

09:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.1 bps9.225ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps9.228ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.7 bps9.229ok
Median of 3 sources$9.228

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:55 → 09:00Nov 159.0969.138UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 159.0799.096UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.2%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 159.0759.079UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.1%LOSS
08:40 → 08:45Nov 159.0679.075UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.0%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 159.0929.067DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.3%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 159.0869.092UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 159.0419.086UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.3%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 159.0039.041UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.6%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 159.0029.003UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.2%LOSS
08:10 → 08:15Nov 159.0449.002DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.2%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 159.0409.044UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.9%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 159.0349.040UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent55.4%74 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent50.0%74 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent47.3%74 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent43.2%74 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent47.3%74 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent48.6%74 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology