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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

11:10 → 11:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:10 → 11:15 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-1110

Settled

Nov 15, 11:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.238
Index at 11:10:00

Final index

$9.253

Settlement price

$9.253
Index at 11:15:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
9.2359.2419.2489.25411:1011:1111:1211:1311:15PTB 9.238

Settlement $9.253

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN59.0%Medium
UP 41.0%59.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.6%
114 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 11:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN61.6%
UP 38.4%61.6% DOWN
Medium47.4%114 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.3%
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Medium46.5%114 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.8%
UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN
Medium47.4%114 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.0%
UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN
Medium44.7%114 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Low43.0%114 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP52.0%
UP 52.0%48.0% DOWN
Medium42.1%114 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low57.0%114 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low52.6%114 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low43.9%114 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:10:00 UTC

11:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.238ok
  • Coinbase+2.9 bps9.241ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps9.237ok
Median of 3 sources$9.238

Settlement · 11:15:00 UTC

11:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps9.252ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps9.255ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.253ok
Median of 3 sources$9.253

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:05 → 11:10Nov 159.2549.238DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.8%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 159.2589.269UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 159.2479.258UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.7%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 159.2559.247DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 159.2519.255UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 159.2509.251UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.4%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 159.2479.250UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.7%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 159.2529.247DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 159.2529.252FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.0%PUSH
10:15 → 10:20Nov 159.2679.252DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.5%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 159.2619.267UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN73.4%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent57.0%114 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent52.6%114 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent43.9%114 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent43.0%114 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent47.4%114 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent47.4%114 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology