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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

12:45 → 12:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:45 → 12:50 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-1245

Settled

Nov 15, 12:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.191
Index at 12:45:00

Final index

$3.183

Settlement price

$3.183
Index at 12:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1833.1863.18812:4512:4612:4712:4812:50PTB 3.191

Settlement $3.183

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN55.0%Medium
UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.0%
143 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 12:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP56.1%
UP 56.1%43.9% DOWN
Medium47.6%143 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Medium51.7%143 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Medium49.7%143 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium51.0%143 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Low52.4%143 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN54.3%
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Medium48.3%143 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low43.4%143 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low55.2%143 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Low53.1%143 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:45:00 UTC

12:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.1 bps3.191ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps3.191ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.4 bps3.191ok
Median of 3 sources$3.191

Settlement · 12:50:00 UTC

12:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.183ok
  • Coinbase+2.9 bps3.184ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.183ok
Median of 3 sources$3.183

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:40 → 12:45Nov 153.1903.191UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
12:35 → 12:40Nov 153.2013.190DOWN7 / 9 UPUP53.2%LOSS
12:30 → 12:35Nov 153.1963.201UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.8%LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 153.1993.196DOWN7 / 9 DOWNUP50.1%LOSS
12:20 → 12:25Nov 153.1953.199UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 153.1863.195UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.7%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 153.1813.186UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.3%LOSS
12:05 → 12:10Nov 153.1653.181UP5 / 9 UPUP59.9%WIN
12:00 → 12:05Nov 153.1683.165DOWN5 / 9 UPUP56.8%LOSS
11:55 → 12:00Nov 153.1813.168DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 153.1843.181DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 153.1963.184DOWN6 / 9 UPUP51.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent52.4%143 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent53.1%143 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent55.2%143 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent51.0%143 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent51.7%143 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent51.0%143 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology