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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 5 Min

03:05 → 03:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:05 → 03:10 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-0305

Settled

Nov 15, 03:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$71.61
Index at 03:05:00

Final index

$71.70

Settlement price

$71.70
Index at 03:10:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
71.5471.7271.8103:0503:0603:0703:0803:10PTB 71.61

Settlement $71.70

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN52.0%Medium
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
26.7%
15 markets
Model version
meta-sol5-v1
published 03:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Medium31.3%16 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN53.0%
UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN
Medium25.0%16 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Medium43.8%16 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Medium31.3%16 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low68.8%16 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium53.3%15 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low60.0%15 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low73.3%15 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low60.0%15 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:05:00 UTC

03:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.1 bps71.59ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.61ok
  • Coinbase+1.8 bps71.62ok
Median of 3 sources$71.61

Settlement · 03:10:00 UTC

03:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.70ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.7 bps71.71ok
  • Coinbase−0.4 bps71.70ok
Median of 3 sources$71.70

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:00 → 03:05Nov 1571.3071.61UP6 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 1571.1171.30UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.5%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 1571.0571.11UP6 / 9 UPDOWN50.1%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 1571.0971.05DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.3%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 1570.9071.09UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.2%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 1570.6570.90UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 1570.5870.65UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.7%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 1570.5370.58UP3 / 5 UPInsufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1OI/Funding Agent73.3%15 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent68.8%16 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent60.0%15 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent60.0%15 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent53.3%15 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent43.8%16 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology