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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 5 Min

03:35 → 03:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:35 → 03:40 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-0335

Settled

Nov 15, 03:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$71.34
Index at 03:35:00

Final index

$71.57

Settlement price

$71.57
Index at 03:40:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
71.4871.6171.7403:3503:3603:3703:3803:40PTB 71.34

Settlement $71.57

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN57.9%Medium
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
42.3%
26 markets
Model version
meta-sol5-v1
published 03:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium44.4%27 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium40.7%27 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium48.1%27 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.1%
UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN
Medium44.4%27 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low55.6%27 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Medium61.5%26 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low65.4%26 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Low57.7%26 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Low50.0%26 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:35:00 UTC

03:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.7 bps71.33ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps71.34ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.34ok
Median of 3 sources$71.34

Settlement · 03:40:00 UTC

03:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.57ok
  • Coinbase+2.6 bps71.59ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps71.57ok
Median of 3 sources$71.57

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:30 → 03:35Nov 1571.3871.34DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.1%WIN
03:25 → 03:30Nov 1571.6671.38DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.9%WIN
03:20 → 03:25Nov 1571.9071.66DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.9%WIN
03:15 → 03:20Nov 1571.7471.90UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 1571.7071.74UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%LOSS
03:05 → 03:10Nov 1571.6171.70UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.0%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 1571.3071.61UP6 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 1571.1171.30UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.5%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 1571.0571.11UP6 / 9 UPDOWN50.1%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 1571.0971.05DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.3%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 1570.9071.09UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.2%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 1570.6570.90UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent65.4%26 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent61.5%26 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent55.6%27 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent57.7%26 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent50.0%26 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent48.1%27 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology