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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 5 Min

07:45 → 07:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:45 → 07:50 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-0745

Settled

Nov 15, 07:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$69.70
Index at 07:45:00

Final index

$69.64

Settlement price

$69.64
Index at 07:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
69.5769.6369.7607:4507:4607:4707:4807:50PTB 69.70

Settlement $69.64

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN65.3%High
UP 34.7%65.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.5%
109 markets
Model version
meta-sol5-v1
published 07:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

9 / 9 DOWN

100.0% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.5%
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Medium46.4%110 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.5%
UP 43.5%56.5% DOWN
Medium49.1%110 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.9%
UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN
Medium50.0%110 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.8%
UP 42.2%57.8% DOWN
Medium47.3%110 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low59.1%110 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN53.7%
UP 46.3%53.7% DOWN
Medium51.4%109 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low54.1%109 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low50.5%109 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low46.8%109 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:45:00 UTC

07:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps69.70ok
  • Coinbase−1.4 bps69.69ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.7 bps69.70ok
Median of 3 sources$69.70

Settlement · 07:50:00 UTC

07:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.7 bps69.64ok
  • Coinbase+0.9 bps69.65ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps69.64ok
Median of 3 sources$69.64

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:40 → 07:45Nov 1569.9769.70DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.9%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 1570.1969.97DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 1570.3270.19DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 1570.3670.32DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 1570.3870.36DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.1%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 1570.2770.38UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.8%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 1570.4670.27DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 1570.2770.46UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.0%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 1570.4170.27DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.5%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 1570.3070.41UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.6%LOSS
06:50 → 06:55Nov 1570.5070.30DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.0%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 1570.5870.50DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent59.1%110 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent54.1%109 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent50.5%109 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent50.0%110 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent46.8%109 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent51.4%109 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology