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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 5 Min

07:50 → 07:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:50 → 07:55 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-0750

Settled

Nov 15, 07:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$69.64
Index at 07:50:00

Final index

$69.81

Settlement price

$69.81
Index at 07:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
69.4769.5869.6969.8007:5007:5107:5207:5307:55PTB 69.64

Settlement $69.81

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN63.1%High
UP 36.9%63.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.1%
110 markets
Model version
meta-sol5-v1
published 07:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.8%
UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN
Medium45.9%111 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Medium48.6%111 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium49.5%111 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.7%
UP 43.3%56.7% DOWN
Medium46.8%111 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low59.5%111 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium50.9%110 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low53.6%110 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low50.9%110 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Low46.4%110 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:50:00 UTC

07:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.7 bps69.64ok
  • Coinbase+0.9 bps69.65ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps69.64ok
Median of 3 sources$69.64

Settlement · 07:55:00 UTC

07:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps69.81ok
  • Coinbase−2.8 bps69.79ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.7 bps69.81ok
Median of 3 sources$69.81

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:45 → 07:50Nov 1569.7069.64DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.3%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 1569.9769.70DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.9%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 1570.1969.97DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 1570.3270.19DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 1570.3670.32DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 1570.3870.36DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.1%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 1570.2770.38UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.8%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 1570.4670.27DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 1570.2770.46UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.0%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 1570.4170.27DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.5%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 1570.3070.41UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.6%LOSS
06:50 → 06:55Nov 1570.5070.30DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.0%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent59.5%111 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent53.6%110 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent50.9%110 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent49.5%111 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent46.4%110 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent48.6%111 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology