Market record
Market recordSOL Up or Down · 5 Min
Market ID sol-5m-20261115-1205
Settled
Nov 15, 12:10:00 UTC
Price to beat
Final index
Settlement price
Outcome
Settlement $72.39
- Historical accuracy
- 49.7%
- 193 markets
- Model version
- meta-sol5-v1
- published 12:05:04 UTC
Base consensus
7 / 9 DOWN77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible
Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.
Agent predictions
Nine specialists, frozen at 12:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.
| Agent | Prediction | UP / DOWN | Confidence | Hist. accuracy | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend Agent | DOWN57.5% | UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN | Medium | 47.9%194 markets | LOSS |
| Momentum Agent | DOWN55.6% | UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN | Medium | 48.5%194 markets | LOSS |
| Mean Reversion Agent | DOWN55.5% | UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN | Medium | 50.5%194 markets | LOSS |
| RSI Divergence Agent | DOWN56.1% | UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN | Medium | 49.0%194 markets | LOSS |
| Order Flow Agent | UP50.4% | UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN | Low | 54.6%194 markets | WIN |
| Volatility Agent | DOWN55.3% | UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN | Medium | 46.6%193 markets | LOSS |
| Liquidation Agent | DOWN51.1% | UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN | Low | 50.8%193 markets | LOSS |
| OI/Funding Agent | UP50.4% | UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN | Low | 49.7%193 markets | WIN |
| Whale Flow Agent | DOWN51.4% | UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN | Low | 47.7%193 markets | LOSS |
Independent price resolution
Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.
Price To Beat · 12:05:00 UTC
12:05:00 UTC- BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps72.10ok
- Coinbase+0.6 bps72.10ok
- OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps72.09ok
Settlement · 12:10:00 UTC
12:10:00 UTC- BinanceUSDT→USD+0.3 bps72.39ok
- Coinbase0.0 bps72.39ok
- OKXUSDT→USD−1.8 bps72.38ok
Recent resolved markets
The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.
| Window (UTC) | Price to beat | Settlement | Outcome | Base consensus | Meta | Meta result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 → 12:05Nov 15 | 72.27 | 72.10 | DOWN | 7 / 9 DOWN | DOWN52.4% | WIN |
| 11:55 → 12:00Nov 15 | 72.49 | 72.27 | DOWN | 5 / 9 DOWN | UP51.5% | LOSS |
| 11:50 → 11:55Nov 15 | 72.50 | 72.49 | DOWN | 7 / 9 DOWN | DOWN51.2% | WIN |
| 11:45 → 11:50Nov 15 | 72.54 | 72.50 | DOWN | 7 / 9 DOWN | DOWN51.0% | WIN |
| 11:40 → 11:45Nov 15 | 72.55 | 72.54 | DOWN | 6 / 9 DOWN | DOWN50.5% | WIN |
| 11:35 → 11:40Nov 15 | 72.49 | 72.55 | UP | 5 / 9 DOWN | DOWN50.6% | LOSS |
| 11:30 → 11:35Nov 15 | 72.35 | 72.49 | UP | 6 / 9 UP | UP51.3% | WIN |
| 11:25 → 11:30Nov 15 | 72.33 | 72.35 | UP | 5 / 9 DOWN | UP51.7% | WIN |
| 11:20 → 11:25Nov 15 | 72.28 | 72.33 | UP | 5 / 9 UP | UP50.3% | WIN |
| 11:15 → 11:20Nov 15 | 72.09 | 72.28 | UP | 5 / 9 DOWN | DOWN50.1% | LOSS |
| 11:10 → 11:15Nov 15 | 71.98 | 72.09 | UP | 7 / 9 DOWN | DOWN57.5% | LOSS |
| 11:05 → 11:10Nov 15 | 72.09 | 71.98 | DOWN | 5 / 9 DOWN | DOWN52.7% | WIN |
Performance history
Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min
Collecting observations
Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.
Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min
View all →- 1Order Flow Agent54.6%194 mkts
- 2Liquidation Agent50.8%193 mkts
- 3OI/Funding Agent49.7%193 mkts
- 4Mean Reversion Agent50.5%194 mkts
- 5Whale Flow Agent47.7%193 mkts
- 6RSI Divergence Agent49.0%194 mkts
About this market
Solana · 5 Minute windows
Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.
Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.
Verification
- Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
- Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
- An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.