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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 5 Min

11:35 → 11:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:35 → 11:40 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-1135

Settled

Nov 15, 11:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$72.49
Index at 11:35:00

Final index

$72.55

Settlement price

$72.55
Index at 11:40:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
72.5572.6172.6611:3511:3611:3711:3811:40PTB 72.49

Settlement $72.55

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN50.6%Low
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
184 markets
Model version
meta-sol5-v1
published 11:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Medium47.6%185 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN53.2%
UP 46.8%53.2% DOWN
Medium49.2%185 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Medium50.8%185 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium49.2%185 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Low55.1%185 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.2%
UP 46.8%53.2% DOWN
Medium47.3%184 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low50.5%184 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low50.5%184 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low48.4%184 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:35:00 UTC

11:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps72.49ok
  • Coinbase+1.8 bps72.50ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps72.48ok
Median of 3 sources$72.49

Settlement · 11:40:00 UTC

11:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps72.55ok
  • Coinbase+1.8 bps72.56ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps72.54ok
Median of 3 sources$72.55

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:30 → 11:35Nov 1572.3572.49UP6 / 9 UPUP51.3%WIN
11:25 → 11:30Nov 1572.3372.35UP5 / 9 DOWNUP51.7%WIN
11:20 → 11:25Nov 1572.2872.33UP5 / 9 UPUP50.3%WIN
11:15 → 11:20Nov 1572.0972.28UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.1%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 1571.9872.09UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
11:05 → 11:10Nov 1572.0971.98DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.7%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 1572.0172.12UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.4%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 1571.9372.01UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.6%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 1572.0271.93DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 1571.9972.02UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.4%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 1571.9371.99UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent55.1%185 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent50.5%184 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent50.5%184 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent50.8%185 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent48.4%184 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.2%185 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology