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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 5 Min

11:00 → 11:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

This window was cancelled (VOID)Not opened

The network could not open this window on time (it was offline, or its opening ran late), so it was skipped: no Price To Beat and no predictions. It produces no accuracy, calibration or learning data.

Void11:00 → 11:05 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-1100

Settled

Nov 15, 11:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

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Index at 11:00:00

Final index

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Settlement price

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Index at 11:05:00

Outcome

VOID
Immutable record
11:0011:0111:0211:0311:05No index data was recorded for this window.

No prediction: this window was not opened.

Base consensus

No prediction: this window was not opened.

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Momentum AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Mean Reversion AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
RSI Divergence AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Order Flow AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Volatility AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Liquidation AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
OI/Funding AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.
Whale Flow AgentNo prediction: this window was not opened.

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:00:00 UTC

Fixed when the window opens.

Settlement · 11:05:00 UTC

Available at settlement.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:55 → 11:00Nov 1572.0172.12UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.4%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 1571.9372.01UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.6%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 1572.0271.93DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 1571.9972.02UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.4%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 1571.9371.99UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 1571.8771.93UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.5%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 1571.8871.87DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.7%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 1571.8971.88DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.2%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 1572.2471.89DOWN7 / 9 UPUP51.2%LOSS
10:10 → 10:15Nov 1572.2072.24UP6 / 9 UPDOWN51.1%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 1571.9572.20UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.7%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 1571.6871.95UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent54.7%172 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent52.0%171 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent50.9%171 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent50.6%172 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent49.4%172 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent47.4%171 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology